Wednesday, March 23, 2011

8.11 on Wednesday morning trend and Trader Strategies

 I have been stressed since last week the complexity of the future market, the reason why so much emphasis on previously analyzed, is up front is a simple wave of unilateral market, the market can not always go up so simple until 3000, and before the beginning of a decline is also simple, the late complex, behind the market, this piece of history will probably be repeated. Therefore, the future road of the market's rebound will enter a complex shock upward trend. to the stock market in recent days to see more to clearly feel it, just a few trading days of the bearish engulfing two long intervening Yinxian a long swallow, swallow long after the next trading day clearly recognized, but the following trading day is the bearish engulfing both a yin yang swallow.
for the market, we continue to look at maps, icons than the text may be more clearly see the current market status.
the figure above, there are three parallel lines A, B, C, respectively, 2686 points 2481 points, 2319 points. the figure three parallel lines AB is clearly a box, but the AC, BC but can not be the box, because there is only one point of 2319 feet, close to cabinet should have at least two angles can be called box. Simply put, the market in May and June to build a tank top in the 2686 points, 2481 points at the bottom of the box, stock index fell below the box end of June, 2319 the minimum dropping point. after the stock rebounded , when the index reaches B line was feeling the pressure, several attempts to no avail after the break, then started to adjust, but a slight adjustment after the formation of an upside trend Morningstar form, and then won the B line. B line to take After the stock under the case all the way straight to the top 2686 point break, but in the end was approaching did not break (from a technical point of high purity long swallow on Friday, Monday and heavy volume is a technology firm received positive recognition, should be high on Wednesday, but the final long not to defeat the formation of a new bearish engulfing another job, although it did not break a small point, but the impact has been enormous market outlook. If the stock exceeded the broader market rally this evolution may be reversed in the afternoon, and now this possibility of reducing, but if the second wave of rebound stronger market outlook is still possible evolution of the reverse).
then look under the box, tape the middle of the dotted line AB is the box in the middle box line, a trading stock index fell to the middle line from the A line, which means that the kinetic energy of the broader market has not yet released a clean short, the middle line of support is unlikely to afford a. afternoon will soon fall below the median line B line under the box near the bottom. Box bottom line is 2481.97 points B, this line with the broader market on July 12 high of close to.
we will look at rising trend channel (green). the index points since 2319, has been walking in the shown in the rising channel, the increase in the channel under the rail line will be on the move on Wednesday at around 2510. downlink channel under the rail line is an important support level to adjust the broader market.
from the average point of view, the market line 20 , 30, has been in the last line shift, line 20, on Tuesday, has dropped close to the intensity of their support is questionable, 30, moved to 2529 points on the line Wednesday near the 30 line is therefore the most important support for this rally moving average, which is short-term important support.
from the map we can clearly see, the market obviously did a double-headed short-term, double high point in the 2681.79 points, the neckline at 2589.99 points, based on the expected adjustment of goals, the stock index should be adjusted to 2498.19 points (specific calculation methods have already been discussed before the double top, the same way as in the opposite direction, the specific method can refer to the 2530 points, nearly 50 points this fall if the stock quickly, then the broader market rebound at any time may appear retaliatory. And, perhaps even one step of adjustment, having a shock start in the finishing step or after the pull down.
then from short-term, said on Wednesday continue to occur if the broader market slump, reached directly to the index to 2530 points to 2481 points to the 50 point range, as long as the broader market and significant departure from the confirmation of the bottom, choose the direct jiacang stock selection, select relatively strong stock selection and pre-adjusted by the sharp decline in this stock or choose not to adjust pre-or simply do not rise in the stock transfer also heavy volume. so soon after the start a strong rebound in the broader market bottom, these stocks will be the first to bounce back.
Therefore, the operating strategy, since the crash Wednesday and suddenly started to pay attention away from the end, pay attention to opportunities for short-term jiacang.
Also, if the broader market closed on Tuesday, Wednesday, and non-dip, Yinxian the following line or under the impact hammer line not long hammer line, this line is very likely to fall to relay, then continue to wait and see.
other: U.S. stocks fell open, the dollar gained strength, if this pattern lasted until the closing, you may be on Tuesday by the publication of economic data is not ideal, and fell outside the disk to produce a sharp fall of the respondents, then once that happens, we must pay attention jiacang short time, attention away from the end.
last drew attention to banking stocks, especially Agricultural Bank of China has been shrinking the amount of energy, but also to the 2.68 position, if the bank shares fell further, we can not rule out the banks after the oversold bounce also brought sharp rebound in stock. especially the Agricultural Bank of China, is a short-term focus. < br> ;. not to answer three questions: 1, direct advice stocks; 2, over sensitive issues; 3, private matter. to remind: someone will respond promptly.):
letter:
accounting brother; Hello:
of Columbia accounted for the words of thanks and admiration not say, directly into the subject, because the following things are longer! In fact, long time I wanted
write, but do not know what to say, in exchange accounted for a few days ago of a fellow brother Xiali stock selection made comments, see this issue, suddenly want to choose their own Share ways to dry in the sun out, with the majority of his comrades exchanges, but also want to share comments about Columbia.
stock selection in that way, I would like to talk about the stock market experience (estimated at some comrades had a similar experience), Through these experiences, can account for Colombia has been advocating that the changes in stock, the company's colleagues say that the securities market so well, why not stock it, so in the ignorant among the confusedly into the stock market, how should I say, is that the big move in 2007, my income is stock petty. With the increase of capital on hand, funds into the stock market has also been increased, so of course, hope to make more money. And now just a phone all day long recommended the stock, software, and to the front end, add your own was not quite know how the stock market, then spent the money on a paid software, impact, and his comrades think to know the results; was listed companies have to use a paid software, due at the end of the year. But since this year March began, the shelf not being used. The reason is their use of these software, what the benefits are still not large, and sometimes software can be involved in the signal, began to adjust the next day, or even decline. then the feeling is not their own, and do not know why to buy, do not know why sell, he is not angry by a cold and a computer to control. so determined to seriously study and share knowledge. have no system, full of chaos science, until you see the brother of the four accounting do not look worth mentioning.
now talk about my stock picking approach, the principle: According to the daily level after the MACD MACD MACD stock selection (with specific reference to the However, I am more inclined to MACD MACD graphics for the green column with very little departure from the narrow bottom), there are two cases, one is 0-axis side, one is below the 0 axis. But no matter what kind of situation, you must 0 .0 shaft near the bottom of the shaft, as close to the 0 axis, at any time and thus gradually strengthened through the 0 axis; 0 axis side, and if away from the 0 axis, up to almost continuous, and the risks are also great. < br> How to use: both the general stock picking software device that can set the number of technical indicators to their own choice. If the above principles, you can set the conditions for stock selection: DIF is less than or greater than 0 (for the difference between MACD below or above the 0 axis), while MACD on the wearing of 0 (that is, and the relationship, not, or the relationship). then compared to ordering, as we choose or 3% or less. while there is need to focus on trends, graphics conditions (the formation of the head and shoulders bottom, double bottom the better).
second, according to the re-release a long red bars to stock selection, which rose after a period of adjustment, Hongzhu gradually shortened again in the red bars put long intervention. also include 0 axis below the two parties and also requested to consider the 0 axis as possible. Dear comrades can be set with reference to the above method.
For example, still comrades Xiali, for example, if accordance with the above stock selection approach, in July 6th to intervene, rather than the July 13 comrades involved is just .7 6 0 MACD on the wear, there Hongzhu, in the 0 axis near the end of a large head and shoulder shape large volumes.
Here are the stocks held their own in July, July 14 involved three light steel Min (double bottom form, July 19 to sell), July 15 Long Yuan Construction intervention ( head and shoulders bottom morphology, July 22 to sell), July 16 involved in the Nanning Sugar (head and shoulders bottom morphology, July 27 to sell) and Haibo shares (head and shoulders bottom shape, Aug. 2 to sell. jump Empty opened higher, but still below the pre-upward gap down, closing Yinxian) .7 26 002 363 Lungi machinery involved (head and shoulders bottom shape, currently holds a).
better than the stocks rose, but also luck of the ingredients, such as select three steel Min light, was based on analysis of total iron and steel stocks can Jiancang Columbia, Xiangbao long term, so in the steel plate is selected it. but he did not keep long-term; Long Yuan Construction, also based on the accounting for brother the analysis of real estate stocks, options to intervene. accounted brother brings luck; other stocks is their choice according to their own ideas too, Nanning Sugar is kept blind luck.
summarize it: 1, stocks have to have their own ideas and methods. According to the broader market trends, stock trends, price and volume, moving averages, graphs to stock selection; 2, sum up. I have a habit of switching over to each of their shares, are recorded, and why buy, why to sell, buy a track after a period of time, to verify if they are correct. only been summarized in order to improve their operational level
would like to ask what accounts for comment brother,
1, I use Head and Shoulders Bottom The calculation method estimated 002,363 machines bounce target price of Lungi in 21.5 yuan attachments is correct (not necessarily to the price and sold, just want to know the results of my calculation is correct or reasonable. feel there are gaps in front of the pressure).
2, my stock-picking approach that is appropriate, I feel there chasing the suspect. that the end of the bear market and bull market of the early application of the mid or late in the bull market is a little chasing.
3, I feel that they are not suitable for long-term operation, sometimes a roller coaster, feeling very uncomfortable, and I want to improve the utilization of funds, so he chose the short-term band operation mode. but this approach is suitable for such short-term stock picking approach.
4, Costa Rica is now so used to account for the blog to see a little fit. such as accounting brother said, this is just cutting the river, not nostalgia. now there is a growing awareness of ways to share brother do not look at the blog, like the ability or the level of their own to judge the broader market and individual stocks, or rely on accounting Gebo off, as previously dependent on paid software, the end 成不了气候.
wish: Columbia accounted for a healthy, happy life!
Shandong small, scattered: Xiaoru
August 2, 2010
Exchange:
First, Xiaoru comrades on the stock market to receive fast, so fast from the disorder in order to be able to enter the state and ordered state is a set of their very rare, this state has not yet reached expert status, but is already moving steadily personal things, in time must be diligent. Moreover, this kind of thing guaranteed to outperform at least the basic no problem. But although there Xiaoru a bright side, but by the Quefei talent or intelligence, but based on solid analysis and summary. personal recommendations, for the rich above the operating system, in particular the expansion of the technical side, there will be conducive to the improvement of technical level . there is no doubt that this is a good basis for beginning. In a sense, this is what I hope the It was inspired by something personal, something of their own is the real thing.
the first question. Lungi machinery in the end to see the current trend is reasonable or not to know, What is the high point round? 21.24 yuan, and between 21.5 yuan calculated only two hair VI. This is the position according to the neckline and the rate of increase of the methods to judge the role. In fact, 21.5 yuan happens to be down before the gap, then the approximation of the gap can not be exceeded if the delay such as the recent A few days hanging straight line can be high throw, and today the trend has once again proved the high toss is wise (early signs of pressure on consecutive K-out of short lines is to leave a sign).
second question. the big rhythm problems small, can be combined with a small cycle-level departures from the Opening the bottom, such as day, so pay attention to disk if you choose a good five minutes and one minute away from the bottom, then the Opening day will be in the vicinity of the lowest point total. However, in the application, After all, this approach seems thin, are not always useful, but will not always choose to have a good stock, so the multi-point tool for personal advice, but do not lose a moment to look at this on a more more or better ways, if there is a better choice can be replaced.
third question. stock picking a bit thin on the technical side, so the need to increase the technical judgments of things, and should in addition to technical but also to test other aspects, these methods the can not say no loopholes, which can be used as a validation to determine their own thing, same time and different times can be a dialectical thinking. This increase may be faster. provided, however, do not have to rely on, rely on useless, dependence will give up their independent thinking, learn from others but can not rely on others, this is the most basic principles of stock.

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